Increase of early-onset colorectal cancer: a cohort effect
Laura Downham, Mathieu Laversanne , Sandra Perdomo, et al JNCI: Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2025, 00(00), 1–6
Increasing incidence rates of
early-onset colorectal cancer (ie, <50years of age) have been reported
across multiple countries. We investigated long-term cancer incidence data from
1995 or earlier from Australia, Canada, England, and the United States
separately by sex. All countries showed increasing early-onset colorectal
cancer incidence in successive birth cohorts since 1960, with individuals born
in the 1990s facing at least 4-fold higher risks than individuals born in the
1960s. Cohort effects were observed across all countries, with sharper
increases at younger ages. Over the most recent decade, the estimated annual
percentage change ranged from 3.4% in Australia and the United States to 4.5%
in England, with steep rises before age 40 years. The emergence of these trends
from ages 20 to 29 years suggests that contributing
factors may originate early in
life and reflect exposures whose effect begin in youth and accumulate
throughout the lifespan.
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